New Jersey Prediction Markets & 2026 Odds

Top New Jersey Markets

The catalogue's rule is short: a contract is listed when its subject is a New Jersey office or a club that plays its home games in the state, whatever name the club carries. The first entries are political: the Senate race prices the party that takes the state's Class II seat, and each House district has a board of the same shape, from the 1st, all of Camden County and parts of two neighbours, to the 12th across parts of Mercer, Middlesex, Somerset and Union counties; the 7th District had drawn more trading than any other New Jersey board on September 28, 2026, and the 2nd District is one of three seats a Republican held in the 119th Congress. Kalshi and Polymarket both price every board catalogued so far; Kalshi's margin-of-victory and turnout ladders on the same races are single-book contracts and stay on the exchange. Prices sit on the pages, dated.

What Moves New Jersey Markets

Political boards move on the Division of Elections' calendar and on what happens between its dates. Ballots have been in the mail since September 19, 2026; registration closes October 13; early voting runs October 24 through November 1; the polls close at 8 p.m. on November 3; the county boards canvass on November 18 and the state certifies by December 3. A debate, a poll, a rating change or a fundraising report reprices a district, and a certified count ends the argument, though Kalshi's contracts are written to the swearing-in at noon on January 3, 2027 rather than to the count. A club's contract, where one qualifies, moves one result at a time on the league's schedule and settles on the league's own record, so a clinch or an elimination can end it before the season does.

Why New Jersey Prediction Markets

A contract here is a yes-or-no question with a price, and that price is the probability the market implies, written as a percentage rather than in cents. Every page reads the same way: the question, the exchanges pricing it, what settles it and what moves it. Where two exchanges price one question the page shows both figures; where one does, the page says so and names it. Settlement is always a named source and never a projection: for a race, the person sworn in or the certified result, depending on the book's own rule, and for a club, the league's official standings. What New Jersey's regulator and the federal courts have said about each exchange is on the legal status page; who publishes this site and where its numbers come from is on the about page.