SportsNew Jersey73 outcomes

Seton Hall NCAA Tournament Odds 2027

Q: What are Seton Hall's odds to win the 2027 NCAA tournament?

As of October 23, 2026, Kalshi had Seton Hall at 0.1% to win the 2026-27 national championship, the lowest price on its board and level with 16 other schools. Kalshi had Duke at 15% and Florida at 13% at the top, which means the market treats a Pirates title as close to one chance in a thousand.

Q: When does the Seton Hall NCAA tournament market resolve?

On the 2026-27 Division I men's national champion, decided at the Men's Final Four at Ford Field in Detroit, which the NCAA lists for April 2 to 5, 2027. Kalshi lists an expected expiration of April 13, 2027.

Q: Where can I trade Seton Hall's national championship odds?

Kalshi is the only exchange pricing it, on its Men's 2027 College Basketball Champion event, where the Seton Hall contract had matched about 50,900 contracts by October 23, 2026.

Q: Did Seton Hall make the NCAA tournament last season?

No. Seton Hall finished 2025-26 at 21-12, lost to St. John's in the Big East semifinals on March 13, 2026, and was not among the teams in the 2026 NCAA tournament's First Four or first round.

Q: What should I watch before Seton Hall's 2027 title odds change?

The opener against Saint Peter's on November 2, 2026, the road game at Alabama on November 13, Wisconsin in Nassau on November 19, then Big East games against St. John's on December 23 and UConn on January 9, 2027, the two conference rivals priced highest.

Seton Hall<1%+99900KALPlaced 61st of 73 (NJ)

Favorite: Duke 15%+567, 15 points clear of Seton Hall

Kalshi 13M contractsVolume

73Outcomes

KalshiPriced on 1 book

Apr 13, 2027Resolves by · 172 days

Last Updated: Oct 23, 2026, 5:13 PM EDTReal Time Odds on Prediction Genius

Price historyTop 5 of 73 · Sep 23, 2026–Oct 23, 2026

Duke15%+567
Florida13%+669
UConn7%+1329
Illinois6%+1567
Texas Tech5%+1900

Top 5 over 30 days: Duke 12%+733 on Sep 23, 2026, 15%+567 on Oct 23, 2026.

Outcome field73 outcomes · 1 platform

#	Outcome	Move	Kalshi	Best price
1	DukeKAL 15%+567	—	15%+567	15%+567KAL
2	FloridaKAL 13%+669	—	13%+669	13%+669KAL
3	UConnKAL 7%+1329	—	7%+1329	7%+1329KAL
4	IllinoisKAL 6%+1567	—	6%+1567	6%+1567KAL
5	Texas TechKAL 5%+1900	up 1 points over 24h	5%+1900	5%+1900KAL
6	ArizonaKAL 4%+2400	—	4%+2400	4%+2400KAL
7	ArkansasKAL 4%+2400	—	4%+2400	4%+2400KAL
8	TexasKAL 4%+2400	—	4%+2400	4%+2400KAL
9	Michigan St.KAL 4%+2400	—	4%+2400	4%+2400KAL
10	KansasKAL 3%+3233	—	3%+3233	3%+3233KAL
11	St. John'sKAL 3%+3233	—	3%+3233	3%+3233KAL
12	HoustonKAL 3%+3233	—	3%+3233	3%+3233KAL
13	LouisvilleKAL 3%+3233	—	3%+3233	3%+3233KAL
14	TennesseeKAL 3%+3233	—	3%+3233	3%+3233KAL
15	MissouriKAL 2%+4900	—	2%+4900	2%+4900KAL
16	MichiganKAL 2%+4900	—	2%+4900	2%+4900KAL
17	AlabamaKAL 2%+4900	—	2%+4900	2%+4900KAL
18	VirginiaKAL 2%+4900	—	2%+4900	2%+4900KAL
19	GonzagaKAL 2%+4900	—	2%+4900	2%+4900KAL
20	VanderbiltKAL 2%+4900	—	2%+4900	2%+4900KAL
21	Miami (FL)KAL 2%+4900	—	2%+4900	2%+4900KAL
22	North CarolinaKAL 1%+9900	—	1%+9900	1%+9900KAL
23	KentuckyKAL 1%+9900	—	1%+9900	1%+9900KAL
24	Iowa St.KAL 1%+9900	—	1%+9900	1%+9900KAL
25	UCLAKAL 1%+9900	—	1%+9900	1%+9900KAL
26	USCKAL 1%+9900	—	1%+9900	1%+9900KAL
27	LSUKAL 1%+9900	—	1%+9900	1%+9900KAL
28	IndianaKAL 1%+9900	—	1%+9900	1%+9900KAL
29	BaylorKAL 1%+11011	—	1%+11011	1%+11011KAL
30	VillanovaKAL 1%+12400	—	1%+12400	1%+12400KAL
31	NebraskaKAL 1%+12400	—	1%+12400	1%+12400KAL
32	PurdueKAL 1%+12400	—	1%+12400	1%+12400KAL
33	Texas A&MKAL 1%+12400	—	1%+12400	1%+12400KAL
34	IowaKAL 1%+14186	—	1%+14186	1%+14186KAL
35	BYUKAL 1%+16567	—	1%+16567	1%+16567KAL
36	AuburnKAL 1%+19900	—	1%+19900	1%+19900KAL
37	Florida St.KAL <1%+24900	—	<1%+24900	<1%+24900KAL
38	ProvidenceKAL <1%+24900	—	<1%+24900	<1%+24900KAL
39	Ohio St.KAL <1%+24900	—	<1%+24900	<1%+24900KAL
40	CincinnatiKAL <1%+33233	—	<1%+33233	<1%+33233KAL
41	WisconsinKAL <1%+33233	—	<1%+33233	<1%+33233KAL
42	MarquetteKAL <1%+33233	—	<1%+33233	<1%+33233KAL
43	ClemsonKAL <1%+33233	—	<1%+33233	<1%+33233KAL
44	OklahomaKAL <1%+33233	—	<1%+33233	<1%+33233KAL
45	VCUKAL <1%+33233	—	<1%+33233	<1%+33233KAL
46	SyracuseKAL <1%+33233	—	<1%+33233	<1%+33233KAL
47	NC St.KAL <1%+33233	—	<1%+33233	<1%+33233KAL
48	Saint Mary'sKAL <1%+49900	—	<1%+49900	<1%+49900KAL
49	StanfordKAL <1%+49900	—	<1%+49900	<1%+49900KAL
50	SMUKAL <1%+49900	—	<1%+49900	<1%+49900KAL
51	Virginia TechKAL <1%+49900	—	<1%+49900	<1%+49900KAL
52	CreightonKAL <1%+49900	—	<1%+49900	<1%+49900KAL
53	XavierKAL <1%+49900	—	<1%+49900	<1%+49900KAL
54	Ole MissKAL <1%+49900	—	<1%+49900	<1%+49900KAL
55	OregonKAL <1%+49900	—	<1%+49900	<1%+49900KAL
56	San Diego St.KAL <1%+49900	—	<1%+49900	<1%+49900KAL
57	GeorgetownKAL <1%+99900	—	<1%+99900	<1%+99900KAL
58	Notre DameKAL <1%+99900	—	<1%+99900	<1%+99900KAL
59	PittsburghKAL <1%+99900	—	<1%+99900	<1%+99900KAL
60	Wake ForestKAL <1%+99900	—	<1%+99900	<1%+99900KAL
61	Seton HallNJKAL <1%+99900	—	<1%+99900	<1%+99900KAL
62	San FranciscoKAL <1%+99900	—	<1%+99900	<1%+99900KAL
63	ButlerKAL <1%+99900	—	<1%+99900	<1%+99900KAL
64	MemphisKAL <1%+99900	—	<1%+99900	<1%+99900KAL
65	RichmondKAL <1%+99900	—	<1%+99900	<1%+99900KAL
66	St. BonaventureKAL <1%+99900	—	<1%+99900	<1%+99900KAL
67	DaytonKAL <1%+99900	—	<1%+99900	<1%+99900KAL
68	Loyola ChicagoKAL <1%+99900	—	<1%+99900	<1%+99900KAL
69	Colorado St.KAL <1%+99900	—	<1%+99900	<1%+99900KAL
70	NevadaKAL <1%+99900	—	<1%+99900	<1%+99900KAL
71	Boise St.KAL <1%+99900	—	<1%+99900	<1%+99900KAL
72	Mississippi St.KAL <1%+99900	—	<1%+99900	<1%+99900KAL
73	Boston CollegeKAL <1%+99900	—	<1%+99900	<1%+99900KAL

How it settlesSettled by Kalshi

Kalshi's Men's 2027 College Basketball Champion event (KXMARMAD-27) pays Yes on Seton Hall's contract (KXMARMAD-27-HALL) if Seton Hall is the 2026-27 Division I men's college basketball national champion, and No otherwise. The champion is decided by the NCAA tournament, which ends at the Men's Final Four at Ford Field in Detroit, listed by the NCAA for April 2 to 5, 2027. Kalshi lists an expected expiration of April 13, 2027 and a latest close of April 27, 2027, and states that it is not affiliated with or endorsed by the NCAA. Kalshi is the only exchange pricing the contract.

Market type

Multi Outcome

Priced on

Kalshi

What moves it

Seton Hall went 21-12 in 2025-26 and 10-10 in the Big East regular season, beat Creighton in the Big East quarterfinals on March 12, 2026 and lost to St. John's in the semifinals on March 13.
The Pirates did not appear in the 2026 NCAA tournament: its four First Four games on March 17 and 18 and 32 first-round games on March 19 and 20 did not include them.
ESPN's 2026-27 roster lists 15 players under head coach Shaheen Holloway; only Elijah Fisher and Trey Parker also appear on its 2025-26 roster.
Non-conference tests: at Alabama on November 13, Wisconsin in Nassau on November 19, Kansas State on December 4 and at Rutgers on December 12, 2026.
Big East games against UConn, St. John's and Villanova, home and away, run from December 23, 2026 to February 17, 2027; the regular season ends at Butler on March 6, 2027.
Kalshi had Seton Hall at 0.1% on October 23, 2026, the floor shared by 17 of the 73 schools listed, with Duke at 15% and UConn at 7%.

Analysis · New Jersey Predictions staff · Oct 23, 2026

Seton Hall Starts the 2026-27 Season Priced at the Floor of the Title Board After Missing the Last Bracket

Seton Hall's NCAA tournament odds for 2027 rest on a season that ended one round short of the bracket: the market treats the Pirates as a program outside the national-title conversation, pricing them at the floor of the board after a 2025-26 season that finished in the Big East semifinals and never reached the NCAA tournament. Seton Hall plays its home games in New Jersey, most of them at Prudential Center in Newark and some at Walsh Gymnasium in South Orange, which makes the Big East program's 2027 title price a New Jersey question. The season opens on November 2, 2026, and the live board above carries the current price.

What the Seton Hall NCAA tournament market is asking

The contract asks whether Seton Hall will be the 2026-27 Division I men's college basketball national champion, which means winning the NCAA tournament that ends at the Men's Final Four at Ford Field in Detroit, listed by the NCAA for April 2 to 5, 2027. Reaching the tournament, winning games in it or making the Final Four pays nothing on its own; only the title settles the contract Yes.

Kalshi is the only exchange pricing this contract. Its men's 2027 college basketball champion event lists 73 schools, and on October 23, 2026 Kalshi had Seton Hall at 0.1%, the lowest price on the board, which means the market treats a Seton Hall title as something close to one chance in a thousand. The Pirates shared that floor with 16 other schools the same day, two of them Big East rivals, Georgetown and Butler. The contract on Seton Hall had matched about 50,900 contracts since the event opened in April 2026, and on October 23 it had no standing bid at all.

The rest of the board shows where the market thinks the title runs. Kalshi had Duke at 15% and Florida at 13% on October 23, 2026, with UConn third at 7%, so the favorite in Seton Hall's own conference sits among the national front-runners. Kalshi had St. John's at 3% and Villanova at 0.8% the same day, which means the Big East programs Seton Hall plays twice each are priced several times higher than the Pirates.

Why the Seton Hall title price sits at the floor

The 2025-26 record is the first reason. Seton Hall went 21-12, according to ESPN's results, and 10-10 in the Big East regular season. The non-conference schedule went well: wins over North Carolina State and Washington State at the Maui Invitational, where the only loss was 83-81 to USC, a road win at Kansas State on December 6 and an 81-59 win over Rutgers at Prudential Center on December 14. The conference season was a different shape. After an opening run that included wins at Providence, at Marquette and at Georgetown, the Pirates lost four straight in January to UConn, Butler, St. John's and DePaul, and they finished the regular season with a 72-65 home loss to St. John's on March 7.

The Big East tournament then ended the year. Seton Hall beat Creighton 72-61 in the quarterfinals at Madison Square Garden on March 12, 2026 and lost 78-68 to St. John's in the semifinals the next day. ESPN lists no postseason game after that, and the NCAA tournament's First Four games on March 17 and 18 and its 32 first-round games on March 19 and 20 did not include the Pirates. A program that missed a 68-team field six months ago is not one the market prices to win it.

The roster is the second reason. ESPN's 2026-27 roster lists 15 players under head coach Shaheen Holloway, and only two of them, Elijah Fisher and Trey Parker, appear on the 2025-26 roster ESPN lists for the club. A team rebuilt that heavily gives the market little to price from: the record that exists belongs mostly to other players, and the record that will matter has not started.

That is the structural read. The 0.1% Kalshi showed on October 23, 2026 is not a judgment that Seton Hall will have a poor season; it is the market treating a non-tournament team with a new roster as one of dozens of programs that would need several things to go right before its title price means anything.

What the 2026-27 schedule asks of Seton Hall

The schedule gives the price its first chances to move before the Big East starts. Seton Hall opens at home against Saint Peter's on November 2 and Long Island University on November 5, both at Prudential Center. ESPN lists a game against Charlotte at The Palestra in Philadelphia on November 9 with no tip time, then a road game at Alabama on November 13 and a meeting with Wisconsin at the Baha Mar Championship in Nassau, Bahamas, on November 19. Kansas State comes to Newark on December 4, and Seton Hall plays Rutgers at Jersey Mike's Arena in Piscataway on December 12, the return of the state rivalry the Pirates won by 22 points last December.

The Big East schedule opens at Georgetown on December 19 and brings St. John's to Prudential Center on December 23. UConn visits on January 9, 2027, Villanova on February 10, and the Pirates play at UConn on February 17 and at St. John's on January 23. The regular season ends at Butler on March 6, 2027. Those six games against UConn, St. John's and Villanova are the ones that could change how the market sees Seton Hall: they are against the three conference programs priced highest on October 23.

A team that starts in the first round needs six wins to take the title, and a team that starts in the First Four needs seven. The Pirates first have to be in the field, which last season's record says is the real question for 2027.

The case against the Seton Hall NCAA tournament read

The strongest case against the read is that the price is a floor, not a forecast. Kalshi's lowest quote is 0.1%, and on October 23, 2026 it sat on 17 of the 73 schools, Seton Hall, Georgetown and Butler among them, with no bid beneath any of the 17. A price at the floor cannot say whether a team is a one-in-a-thousand shot or a one-in-two-hundred shot; it says only that nobody has paid more. Preseason college prices also move on results the market has not yet seen, and a roster with 13 names that were not on last season's list is exactly the kind of team a November tournament can reprice.

The second argument is about the conference. A 10-10 Big East season and a semifinal run at Madison Square Garden are close to a bubble résumé in a league with UConn and St. John's in it, and the Big East gives Seton Hall six games against the three conference programs the market prices highest. A reader who holds this view sees a team whose path to the tournament runs through games that would also make it look like a different team.

What changes the Seton Hall NCAA tournament read

The read is wrong if Seton Hall is a tournament team by February and the price has not moved off the floor. These are the dated tests.

• November 13 at Alabama and November 19 against Wisconsin: the first two games against major-conference opponents away from Newark.

• December 4 against Kansas State and December 12 at Rutgers: the last non-conference tests before the Big East.

• December 23 against St. John's and January 9 against UConn: the first meetings with the two Big East programs priced highest.

• March 6 at Butler: the regular-season finale, after which the Big East tournament and the NCAA bracket decide whether the contract is live at all.

When the Seton Hall NCAA tournament market resolves

The contract resolves on the 2026-27 Division I men's national champion, decided at the Men's Final Four at Ford Field in Detroit, which the NCAA lists for April 2 to 5, 2027. Kalshi's contract pays Yes on Seton Hall only if the Pirates are that champion and No otherwise, with an expected expiration of April 13, 2027 and a latest close of April 27, 2027. A Seton Hall season that ends without an NCAA bid, or with an exit in any round, leaves the contract to settle No when the champion is decided.

Seton Hall shares Prudential Center with the Devils, whose title chances are on the New Jersey Devils Stanley Cup odds page, and the Devils' conference race is on the New Jersey Devils Eastern Conference odds page. Every club and college contract the state carries is on the sports desk, and the full list is in the markets catalog.

Questions readers ask

What are Seton Hall's odds to win the 2027 NCAA tournament?

As of October 23, 2026, Kalshi had Seton Hall at 0.1% to win the 2026-27 national championship, the lowest price on its board and level with 16 other schools. Kalshi had Duke at 15% and Florida at 13% at the top, which means the market treats a Pirates title as close to one chance in a thousand.

When does the Seton Hall NCAA tournament market resolve?

On the 2026-27 Division I men's national champion, decided at the Men's Final Four at Ford Field in Detroit, which the NCAA lists for April 2 to 5, 2027. Kalshi lists an expected expiration of April 13, 2027.

Where can I trade Seton Hall's national championship odds?

Kalshi is the only exchange pricing it, on its Men's 2027 College Basketball Champion event, where the Seton Hall contract had matched about 50,900 contracts by October 23, 2026.

Did Seton Hall make the NCAA tournament last season?

No. Seton Hall finished 2025-26 at 21-12, lost to St. John's in the Big East semifinals on March 13, 2026, and was not among the teams in the 2026 NCAA tournament's First Four or first round.

What should I watch before Seton Hall's 2027 title odds change?

The opener against Saint Peter's on November 2, 2026, the road game at Alabama on November 13, Wisconsin in Nassau on November 19, then Big East games against St. John's on December 23 and UConn on January 9, 2027, the two conference rivals priced highest.